One of the most interesting “smart money” trades we came across Friday was with Mongodb Inc. (NASDAQ: MDB).
If you’re new here, a “smart money” trade is a relatively large volume option trade most likely made by a pro trader. The idea is to analyze unusual options activity, identify an interesting “smart money” trade, and then make our best guess as to:
- Which direction the trader thinks the stock is headed
- How much they think it will rise (or fall), and
- In what time frame this will all happen.
If we like what we see after putting all these pieces together, we can mimic the “smart money” trade (on a smaller scale), and potentially ride alongside our pro trader to profits. With all this in mind…
A Pro Trader Just Bet $3,865,000 that MDB will Rise in the Next 6 Months
On Friday, September 03, 2021, a pro trader seems to have bought 500 of the February 18, 2022, $470 call options on MDB for $77.30 per share. Her outlay was $3,865,000.
MDB – Options Trade
The trade’s breakeven point is at $547.30, meaning that MDB needs to rise to $547.30 for the call option trade to break even. This is around an 8% upside from the current price of $507.41. And then for every $1 the stock rises above $547.30, our “smart money” trader will make $50,000!
On analyzing the chart of MDB, the stock seems to have broken out of a symmetrical triangle pattern (marked as a blue color lines) with historically high volume.
MDB – Daily Chart
This makes it likely our pro trader is bullish on Mongodb, which lends credence to our conclusion that the pro bought these call options, as opposed to selling them.
If you agree and would like to mimic this trade, here’s how:
Buy to open the February 18, 2022 $470 call options on MDB for $77.30 or better.
As always, depending on your risk appetite, do remember to set a stop-loss for the options trade to avoid significant losses.
Happy Trading!
— Trades of The Day Research Team
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