Avadel Pharmaceuticals plc (NASDAQ: AVDL) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company operates as a biopharmaceutical company in the United States. Its lead product candidate is LUMRYZ, a formulation of sodium oxybate, which is in a Phase 3 clinical trial for the treatment of excessive daytime sleepiness or cataplexy in adults with narcolepsy.
The stock was also a part of our recent watchlist for breakout stocks.
Bullish Indications
#1 Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock had recently broken out of an Ascending Triangle pattern. An Ascending Triangle pattern is a bullish pattern. This is marked on the daily chart in purple color lines. A breakout from this pattern typically indicates bullishness. The base of the triangle generally acts as a good support level after the breakout.
AVDL – Daily Chart
#2 Price above MAs: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Bullish ADX: The ADX indicator shows that the +DI line is currently above the –DI line and the ADX line has started to move up from below the –DI and +DI lines. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Above Support Area: As you can see from the weekly chart, the stock has currently moved up from a resistance-turned-support level. This level is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week and 200-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control.
AVDL – Weekly Chart
#6 %K above %D: The %K (blue) line of stochastic has currently crossed above the %D (Orange) line in the weekly chart. This is a possible bullish indication.
#7 Bullish MACD: The MACD line is above the MACD signal line in the weekly chart as well, indicating bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase shares of AVDL above the price of around $18.85.
TP: Our target prices are $24 and $27 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss at $16.20. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 27% to 43% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $2.65, our target rewards are $5.15 and $8.15. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the ascending triangle pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
Happy Trading!
Tara
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