Picking a winning trade on a consistent basis is not simply a stroke of luck. It’s the result of calculated screening, planning, and deliberation.
With this in mind, we have started a new weekly series on our top 10 stocks to watch this week — stocks that look poised for a possible breakout in the coming days. Traders should add these stocks to their watchlist now.
The Top 10 Stocks to Watch This Week for Possible Breakouts
| Sl # | Name of the Stock | Stock Ticker | Last Close | Buy Level(s) | Reason |
| 1 | P10 Inc. | NYSE: PX | $11.65 | $11.70 | Flag Pattern Breakout |
| 2 | Geo Group, Inc. | NYSE: GEO | $8.18 | $8.30 | Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout |
| 3 | Blue Bird Corp | NASDAQ: BLBD | $21.35 | $21.80 | Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout |
| 4 | Aspen Aerogels Inc. | NYSE: ASPN | $8.60 | $8.80 | Consolidation Area |
| 5 | Flex Ltd | NASDAQ: FLEX | $26.98 | $27.20 | Flag Pattern |
| 6 | Micron Technology Inc. | NASDAQ: MU | $68.03 | $70.70 | Symmetrical Triangle Pattern |
| 7 | Nike, Inc. | NYSE: NKE | $95.62 | $100.90 | Downtrend Channel |
| 8 | Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V. ADR | NYSE: FMX | $109.15 | $111.20 | Flag Pattern |
| 9 | Vertex Inc | NASDAQ: VERX | $23.10 | $23.30 | Ascending Triangle Pattern |
| 10 | Golub Capital BDC, Inc. | NASDAQ: GBDC | $14.67 | $14.80 | Flag Pattern Breakout |
Important: Typically, these trades offer a risk: reward ratio of 1:2 or 1:3 in the next 6 months, which implies 2x to 3x rewards when compared to risks. So, be sure to set your stop-loss levels and target prices accordingly to manage your risk. In addition, these trade ideas are triggered using daily closing prices, not intra-day pricing. So, if you participate in these trades, make sure that you only buy the stock once its daily close is above the recommended price level.
That said, here are the top 10 stocks to watch for a breakout, in no particular order.
#1 P10 Inc. (NYSE: PX)
Sector: Financial | Asset Management
Reason: Breakout From a Flag Pattern
A flag pattern is a short-term continuation pattern that marks a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. The pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. For a stock in an uptrend, a breakout from this pattern is typically a strong bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): Although the stock has currently broken out of the flag pattern, the ideal buy level for PX is above the near-term resistance level of $11.70. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – PX
PX – Flag Pattern Breakout
#2 Geo Group, Inc. (NYSE: GEO)
Sector: Industrials | Security & Protection Services
Reason: Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout
A falling wedge pattern is formed by joining two downward-sloping, converging trendlines having a contracting range. The pattern appears to be wide at the top and continues to contract as prices fall. A breakout from a falling wedge pattern can indicate either reversal or continuation depending on where the pattern appeared in the trend.
A stock that has broken out of a falling wedge pattern would have gained momentum and would have the potential to move higher.
Buy Level(s): The stock has currently broken out of a falling wedge pattern. However, the ideal buy level for GEO is above the nearest resistance level of $8.30. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – GEO
GEO – Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout
#3 Blue Bird Corp (NASDAQ: BLBD)
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Auto Manufacturers
Reason: Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout
A falling wedge pattern is formed by joining two downward-sloping, converging trendlines having a contracting range. The pattern appears to be wide at the top and continues to contract as prices fall. A breakout from a falling wedge pattern can indicate either reversal or continuation depending on where the pattern appeared in the trend.
A stock that has broken out of a falling wedge pattern would have gained momentum and would have the potential to move higher.
Buy Level(s): The stock has currently broken out of a falling wedge pattern. However, the ideal buy level for BLBD is above the nearest resistance level of $21.80. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – BLBD
BLBD – Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout
#4 Aspen Aerogels Inc. (NYSE: ASPN)
Sector: Industrials | Building Products & Equipment
Reason: Formation of a Consolidation Area in the Daily Chart
A Consolidation Area is a price action contained between two parallel lines. It is formed by a lower line that connects the lows, and an upper line that joins the highs. A stock usually trades between the two lines of the consolidation area before finally breaking out from the upper rail.
Buy Level(s): The ideal buy level for ASPN is above the breakout level of the consolidation area, at around $8.80. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – ASPN
ASPN – Consolidation Area
#5 Flex Ltd (NASDAQ: FLEX)
Sector: Technology | Electronic Components
Reason: Formation of a Flag Pattern
A flag pattern is a short-term continuation pattern that marks a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. The pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. For a stock in an uptrend, a breakout from this pattern is typically a strong bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): The ideal buy level for FLEX is if the stock breaks out of the flag pattern, at around $27.20. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – FLEX
FLEX – Flag Pattern
#6 Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU)
Sector: Technology | Semiconductors
Reason: Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
A symmetrical triangle is a chart pattern formed by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. These two lines result in the formation of a triangle that appears to be symmetrical.
A symmetrical triangle pattern is usually formed when there is indecision in the price movements and there is uncertainty among the buyers and sellers. This chart pattern represents a period of consolidation before the price breaks out or breaks down. In case a breakout occurs from the upper trend line, it is a strong bullish indication as it signifies the start of a new bullish trend.
Buy Level(s): The ideal buy level for MU is if the stock has a daily close above the breakout level of the symmetrical triangle pattern, at around $70.70. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – MU
MU – Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
#7 Nike, Inc. (NYSE: NKE)
Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Footwear & Accessories
Reason: Formation of a Downtrend Channel
A downtrend or descending channel is the price action contained between downward sloping parallel lines. It is formed by two lines that are drawn by connecting the lower highs and lower lows of a stock’s price. Even though this is typically a bearish pattern, a breakout from the upper rail of this pattern is considered a good bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): The daily chart shows that the stock is currently forming a downtrend channel. The ideal buy level for NKE is if the stock breaks out of the downtrend channel and has a daily close above $100.90. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – NKE
NKE – Downtrend Channel
#8 Fomento Economico Mexicano S.A.B. de C.V. ADR (NYSE: FMX)
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Beverages – Brewers
Reason: Formation of a Flag Pattern
A flag pattern is a short-term continuation pattern that marks a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. The pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. For a stock in an uptrend, a breakout from this pattern is typically a strong bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): The ideal buy level for FMX is if the stock breaks out of the flag pattern, at around $111.20. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – FMX
FMX – Flag Pattern
#9 Vertex Inc. (NASDAQ: VERX)
Sector: Technology | Software – Application
Reason: Formation of an Ascending Triangle Pattern
An ascending triangle pattern is a bullish pattern formed by drawing a horizontal line along the swing highs, and a rising trendline along the swing lows. These two lines result in the formation of a triangle. A breakout from this pattern is typically a strong bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): The ideal buy level for VERX is if the stock has a daily close above the breakout level of the ascending triangle pattern, at around $23.30. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – VERX
VERX – Ascending Triangle Pattern
#10 Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC)
Sector: Financial | Asset Management
Reason: Breakout From a Flag Pattern
A flag pattern is a short-term continuation pattern that marks a small consolidation before the previous move resumes. The pattern is formed when the market consolidates in a narrow range after a sharp move. For a stock in an uptrend, a breakout from this pattern is typically a strong bullish indication.
Buy Level(s): Although the stock has currently broken out of the flag pattern, the ideal buy level for GBDC is above the near-term resistance level of $14.80. This is marked in the chart below as a green color dotted line.
Daily chart – GBDC
GBDC – Flag Pattern Breakout
Happy Trading!
Trades of The Day Research Team
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