Gold Fields Limited (NYSE: GFI) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company operates as a gold producer with reserves and resources in Chile, South Africa, Ghana, West Africa, Australia, and Peru. The company also explores for copper deposits.
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: As you can see from the daily chart, the stock was forming a falling wedge pattern for the past few weeks. These are marked as purple color lines. The stock has currently broken out of the falling wedge pattern and looks poised for an upmove. A falling wedge is a bullish pattern and a breakout from it implies that the stock may move higher in the short term.
#2 Price above MAs: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Bullish ADX: The ADX indicator shows that the +DI line is currently above the –DI line and the ADX line has started to move up from below the –DI and +DI lines. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Bullish RSI: The RSI is above 50 and moving higher in the daily chart, indicating possible bullishness.
#6 Above Support Area: As you can see from the weekly chart, the stock has currently moved up from a resistance-turned-support level. This level is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week and 200-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are in control.
#7 %K above %D: The %K (blue) line of stochastic has currently crossed above the %D (Orange) line in the weekly chart. This is a possible bullish indication.
#8 Bullish MACD: The MACD line is above the MACD signal line in the weekly chart as well, indicating bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase the shares of GFI above the price of around $11.05.
TP: Our target prices are $13 and $16 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss below $10.00. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 18% to 45% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $1.05, our target rewards are $1.95 and $4.95. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:5 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 5x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the breakout level of the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
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