FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company provides transportation, e-commerce, and business services in the United States and internationally. FDX comprises of FedEx Express segment, FedEx Ground segment, FedEx Freight segment, FedEx Services segment, and Corporate, Other, and Eliminations segment.
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: As you can see from the daily chart, the stock was forming a falling wedge pattern for the past few weeks. These are marked as purple color lines. The stock has currently broken out of the falling wedge pattern and looks poised for an upmove. A falling wedge is a bullish pattern and a breakout from it implies that the stock may move higher in the short term.
#2 Price above MAs: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Bullish ADX: The ADX indicator shows that the +DI line is currently above the –DI line and the ADX line has started to move up from below –DI and +DI lines. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the daily chart, indicating possible bullishness.
#6 Fibonacci Support: Usually, after an up-move, stocks typically retrace to any of the key Fibonacci levels before surging back again. The stock had taken support at the 50% Fibonacci support level before moving higher, as seen in the weekly chart. This indicates bullishness.
#7 Bullish MACD: The MACD line is above the MACD signal line in the weekly chart as well, indicating bullishness.
#8 Bullish RSI: In the weekly chart, the RSI is currently above 50 and moving higher. This is a possible bullish sign.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase the shares of FDX above the price of around $235.70.
TP: Our target prices are $245 and $252 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss at $230. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 4% to 7% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $5.70, our target rewards are $9.30 and $16.30. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the breakout level of the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
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