We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared for traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Altus Power, Inc. (NYSE: AMPS)
Today’s penny stock pick is the clean electrification company, Altus Power, Inc. (NYSE: AMPS).
Altus Power, Inc. develops, owns, constructs, and operates roof, ground, and carport-based photovoltaic solar energy generation and storage systems. It serves commercial, industrial, public sector, and community solar customers. The company was founded on September 4, 2013 and is headquartered in Greenwich, CT.
Website: https://www.altuspower.com/
Latest 10-k report: https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001828723/8184d34d-fa74-4caa-8bd0-6cdd9a6d0166.pdf
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 3 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for AMPS in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $4.50, which is nearly 14% upside from current levels.
Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The company’s Nationwide portfolio surpassed 1 GW in operating assets as of September 30, 2024.
- AMPS expanded its Community Solar subscriber base to approximately 30,000 households across nine states.
- The company’s operating revenues during the third quarter of 2024 totaled $58.7 million, compared to $45.1 million during the same period of 2023, an increase of 30%.
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
AMPS – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 Bullish Stoch: The %K line of the stochastic is above the %D line, and has also moved higher from oversold levels, indicating possible bullishness.
#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This is a possible bullish indication.
AMPS – Weekly Chart
#6 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart as well, indicating possible bullishness.
#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for AMPS is above the price of $4.10.
Target Prices: Our first target is $5.50. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $6.60.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $3.30. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 34% to 61%.
For a risk of $0.80, our first target reward is $1.40, and the second target reward is $2.50. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses.
AMPS – Consolidated Statements of Operations
- The solar and energy industries are characterized by intense competition and rapid technological advances, both in the U.S. and internationally.
- Hedge Funds Decreased Holdings by 228.7K Shares Last Quarter.
Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com
- The company has geographical risk, as most of its solar facilities are in New Jersey, New York, Massachusetts, and California.
- AMPS’ directors, executive officers, and their affiliates as a group beneficially own approximately 33% of the outstanding shares. The concentration of ownership among existing executive officers, directors, and their affiliates may prevent new investors from influencing significant corporate decisions.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
AMPS – Executive Compensation
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
Nvidia's Secret Partner... This Is The New AI Chip Powerhouse [sponsor]I bet you've never heard of it... but this newly public company is set to become key to Nvidia's seat on the AI throne. And for now... you can get in while it's still cheap. Details Here! Find Out What It Is Right Here.