We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Lithium Americas Corp. (NYS: LAC)
Today’s penny stock pick is the lithium company, Lithium Americas Corp. (NYS: LAC).
Lithium Americas Corp. engages in the exploration and development of lithium properties in the United States and Canada. It holds a 100% interest in the Thacker Pass project located in northern Nevada, as well as investments in exploration properties in the United States and Canada. The Company manufactures lithium batteries and other products and serves clients worldwide.
Website: https://www.lithiumamericas.com
Latest 10-k report: https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001966983/97cdec32-e612-49f3-aef7-73fc222dcdc3.pdf
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 7 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for LAC in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $5.09, which is nearly 55% upside from current levels.
Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The company has formed a joint venture with General Motors to extract lithium from the Thacker Pass site in Nevada. GM will provide $625 million in cash and credit and own a 38% stake in the project.
- EV growth worldwide is continuing to accelerate, translating to higher demand for lithium batteries.
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
LAC – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher.
LAC – Weekly Chart
#6 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.
#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to enter this trade, the ideal buy level for LAC is above the price of $3.40.
Target Prices: Our first target is $4.30. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $5.00.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $2.90. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 27% to 47%.
For a risk of $0.50, our first target reward is $0.90, and the second target reward is $1.60. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses.
LAC – Consolidated Statements of Operations
- The Company has no prior history of completing the development of a mining project or conducting mining operations. LAC’s ability to continue as a going concern will be dependent upon its ability to generate profits from its proposed operations
- The company has significant shareholder and commercial relationship risk. With the inking of the latest JV, GM would own a significant percentage of the outstanding Common Shares. Consequently, GM may have the ability to influence the outcome of corporate actions requiring shareholder approval, including the election of directors of the Company and the approval of certain corporate transactions.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
LAC – Executive Compensation
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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