Trade This $4 Stock for a 27%-51% Potential Upside

We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.

Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.

Penny Stock of the Day: Clover Health Investments, Corp. (NASDAQ: CLOV)

Today’s penny stock pick is the medicare advantage plans provider company, Clover Health Investments, Corp. (NASDAQ: CLOV).

Clover Health Investments, Corp. operates through two segments: Insurance and Non-Insurance. It also offers Clover Assistant, a cloud-based software platform, that enables physicians to detect, identify, and manage chronic diseases earlier; and access to data-driven and personalized insights for the patients they treat.

Website:  https://www.cloverhealth.com/en/

Latest 10-k report:  https://investors.cloverhealth.com/static-files/fd90ff89-3d88-42e4-b7e6-2dc03f591f6f

Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 2 Wall Street analysts offering 12-month price targets for CLOV in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $2.60.

Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com

Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:

  • Health’s subsidiary, Counterpart Health, announced a multi-year agreement with The Iowa Clinic.
  • Corporate Insiders placed Informative Buys of Shares Worth $999.6K in the Last 3 Months.

    Insiders | Source: TipRanks.com

  • The company reported that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) concluded its investigation into CLOV and was cleared without any enforcement action. The SEC probe began in February 2021.
  • Rumors that a 4-star rating was given to CLOV.

On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…

Bullish Indications

#1 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out a symmetrical triangle pattern with a high volume. This is marked as purple color lines. A symmetrical triangle pattern represents a period of consolidation before the price breaks out. This is typically formed when there is indecision in the price movements and uncertainty among the buyers and sellers. Once a breakout from the upper trend line occurs, it usually signifies the start of a new bullish trend.

CLOV – Daily Chart

#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.

#3 Price above MAs: The stock is currently above its 50-day and 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.

#4 Bullish Stoch:  The %K line of the stochastic is above the %D line, and has also moved higher from oversold levels, indicating possible bullishness.

#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are gaining control.

CLOV – Weekly Chart

#6 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart as well, indicating possible bullishness.

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#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.

Recommended Trade (based on the charts)

Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for CLOV is above the price of $3.70.

Target Prices: Our first target is $4.70. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $5.60.

Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $3.10. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.

Our target potential upside is 27% to 51%.

For a risk of $0.60, our first target reward is $1.00, and the second target reward is $1.90. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.

In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.

Potential Risks / Red Flags:

  1. The company has a history of net losses. CLOV incurred net losses of $213.4 million, $339.6 million, and $587.8 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively.

    CLOV – Consolidated Statements of Operations

  2. The company has ongoing Securities Class Actions, Derivative Litigation, and Investigations.
  3. Hedge Funds Decreased Holdings by 26.6K Shares Last Quarter.

    Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com

  4. The company operates in a competitive industry and competes with larger companies that may have stronger brands. Any consolidation among competitors would also increase competition.
  5. Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid millions as compensation.

    CLOV – Executive Compensation

As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!

Happy Trading!

Trades of the Day Research Team

READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.

Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.

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