Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company operates as a flat-rolled steel producer in North America. The company offers hot-rolled, cold-rolled, electrogalvanized, hot-dip galvanized, galvannealed, aluminized, galvalume, enameling, and advanced high-strength steel products; stainless steel products; plates; and grain oriented and non-oriented electrical steel products.
The stock was also a part of our recent watchlist for breakout stocks.
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: As you can see from the daily chart, the stock had been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past few weeks. These are marked as purple color lines. The stock has currently broken out of the falling wedge pattern and looks poised for an upmove. A falling wedge is a bullish pattern and a breakout from it implies that the stock may move higher in the short term.
CLF – Daily Chart
#2 Price above MA: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA indicating that the bulls are gaining control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Positive OBV: The daily chart shows that the OBV indicator is currently rising. OBV rises when volume on up days outpaces volume on down days. A rising OBV typically reflects positive volume pressure that can lead to higher prices.
#5 Fibonacci Support: Usually, after an up-move, stocks typically retrace to any of the key Fibonacci levels before surging back again. The stock had taken support at the 38.2% Fibonacci support level before moving higher, as seen in the weekly chart. This indicates bullishness. The stock is also trading above its 200-week SMA. All these are possible bullish indications.
CLF – Weekly Chart
#6 %K above %D: The %K (blue) line of stochastic has currently crossed above the %D (Orange) line in the weekly chart and is also moving higher from oversold levels. This is a possible bullish indication.
#7 Bullish RSI: In the weekly chart, the RSI is currently above 50 and moving higher. This is a possible bullish sign.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase shares of CLF above the price of around $16.30.
TP: Our target prices are $18.50 and $21.00 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss below $15.00. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 13% to 26% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $1.30, our target rewards are $2.20 and $4.20. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the breakout level of the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
Happy Trading!
Tara
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