TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company provides K-12 after-school tutoring services in the People’s Republic of China. The company offers tutoring services to K-12 students covering various academic subjects, including mathematics, physics, chemistry, biology, history, geography, political science, English, and Chinese.
Bullish Indications
#1 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock had recently formed a Symmetrical Triangle pattern. This is a continuation pattern and is characterized by two converging trend lines connecting a series of sequential peaks and troughs. This pattern is marked on the daily chart as purple color lines. The breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern usually signifies a bullish move. Currently, the stock has broken out of the symmetrical triangle pattern which is a possible bullish sign.
TAL – Daily Chart
#2 Price above MAs: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Bullish ADX: The ADX indicator shows that the +DI line is currently above the –DI line and the ADX line has started to move up from below the –DI and +DI lines. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Positive OBV: The daily chart shows that the OBV indicator is currently rising. OBV rises when volume on up days outpaces volume on down days. A rising OBV typically reflects positive volume pressure that can lead to higher prices.
#6 Above Support Area: As you can see from the weekly chart, the stock has currently moved up from a resistance-turned-support level. This level is marked as a purple dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are gaining firm control.
TAL – Weekly Chart
#7 %K above %D: The %K (blue) line of stochastic has currently crossed above the %D (Orange) line in the weekly chart. This is a possible bullish indication.
#8 Bullish RSI: In the weekly chart, the RSI is currently nearing 50 and moving higher. This is a possible bullish sign.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase shares of TAL above the price of around $9.20.
TP: Our target prices are $13 and $15 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss at $7.20. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 41% to 63% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $2.00, our target rewards are $3.80 and $5.80. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the symmetrical triangle pattern with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
Happy Trading!
Tara
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