We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE: RAD)
Today’s penny stock pick is the healthcare company, Rite Aid Corporation (NYSE: RAD).
Rite Aid Corporation operates a retail drugstore chain. The Company is engaged in providing its services to customers and communities through various programs. It operates through two segments: the Retail Pharmacy segment and the Pharmacy Services segment.
The Retail Pharmacy segment sells brand and generic prescription drugs and various other pharmacy services, as well as front-end products, including health and beauty aids, personal care products, and seasonal merchandise.
The Pharmacy Services Segment, which consists of Elixir, its pharmacy benefit management (PBM) business, provides a suite of PBM offerings including technology solutions, mail delivery services, specialty pharmacy, network, and rebate administration, claims adjudication, and pharmacy discount programs. Elixir also provides prescription discount programs and Medicare Part D insurance offerings for individuals and groups.
Website: https://www.riteaid.com/
Latest 10-k report: https://investors.riteaid.com/financials/sec-filings/sec-filings-details/default.aspx?FilingId=16609371
Analyst Consensus: Not Covered By Wall Street Analysts.
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- Rumors of a possible acquisition.
- Hedge Funds Increased Holdings by 830.0K Shares Last Quarter.
Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern with a high volume. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
RAD – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.
#6 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher.
RAD – Weekly Chart
#7 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart indicating possible bullishness.
#8 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart as well, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for RAD is above the price of $2.30.
Target Prices: Our first target is $3.60. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $4.30.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $1.70. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 57% to 87%.
For a risk of $0.60, our first target reward is $1.30, and the second target reward is $2.00. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses. RAD’s net loss from continuing operations for fiscal 2023 was $749.9 million and for fiscal 2022 was $538.5 million.
RAD – Consolidated Statements of Operations
- The Company is currently a defendant in several lawsuits filed in courts in California that contain allegations regarding violations of the California Business and Professions Code, various California employment laws and regulations, industry wage orders, wage-and-hour laws, rules, and regulations pertaining primarily to failure to pay overtime, failure to pay premiums for missed meals and rest periods, failure to provide accurate wage statements, and failure to reimburse business expenses.
- The Company is named as a defendant in a number of lawsuits that allege that the Company’s retail stores overcharged for prescription drugs by not submitting the price available to members of the Rite Aid’s Rx Savings Program as the pharmacy’s usual and customary price, and related theories.
- As of March 4, 2023, the company has approximately $2.9 billion of outstanding indebtedness and a stockholders’ deficit of $641.8 million.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the company executives are being paid significant compensation.
RAD – Executive Compensation
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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