We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Danimer Scientific, Inc. (NYSE: DNMR)
Today’s penny stock pick is the performance polymer company, Danimer Scientific, Inc. (NYSE: DNMR).
Danimer Scientific, Inc. develops, produces, and provides bioplastic replacements for traditional petroleum-based plastics. It produces polyhydroxyalkanoate, a biodegradable plastic feedstock alternative used in a range of plastic applications, including films, straws, food containers, and other things under the Nodax brand name; polylactic acid-based resins for coating disposable paper cups; and other biopolymers.
The company offers its products for biopolymers, including additives, aqueous coatings, fibers, filaments, films, thermoforming, and injection-molded articles. It also markets its products to consumer packaging brand owners, converters, and manufacturers in the plastics industry.
Website: https://www.danimerscientific.com
Latest 10-k report: https://content.equisolve.net/sec/0000950170-23-010363/dnmr-20221231.htm
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 1 Wall Street analyst offering 12-month price targets for DNMR in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $7.00, which is nearly 80% upside from current levels.
Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The company’s new commissioned facility in Kentucky is anticipated to have a significant impact on its performance, with it starting to ramp up in the second half of 2023 and onward.
- A warm Wall Street reception to management’s Q4 earnings update. Management projected a return to sales growth and improving margins in 2023, in part because of rising demand for packaging materials that are more environmentally friendly.
- Hedge Funds Increased Holdings by 325.1K Shares Last Quarter.
Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is marked as purple color lines. A symmetrical triangle pattern represents a period of consolidation before the price breaks out. This is typically formed when there is indecision in the price movements and uncertainty among the buyers and sellers. Once a breakout from the upper trend line occurs, it usually signifies the start of a new bullish trend.
DNMR – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MAs: The stock is currently above its 50-day as well as 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This looks like a good area for the stock to move higher. The stock is also trading above its 50-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are gaining control.
DNMR – Weekly Chart
#6 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for DNMR is above the price of $4.05.
Target Prices: Our first target is $5.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $5.70.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $3.50. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 24% to 41%.
For a risk of $0.55, our first target reward is $0.95, and the second target reward is $1.65. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses. DNMR reported a net loss of $179.8 million in 2022 and a net loss of $60.1 million in 2021.
DNMR – Consolidated Statements of Operations
- The company has ongoing legal proceedings.
- On May 14, 2021, a class action complaint was filed by Darryl Keith Rosencrants in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York, on May 18, 2021, a class action complaint was filed by Carlos Caballeros in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia, on May 18, 2021, a class action complaint was filed by Dennis H. Wilkins also in the United States District Court for the Middle District of Georgia, and on May 19, 2021, a class action complaint was filed by Elizabeth and John Skistimas in the United States District Court for the Eastern District of New York. Each plaintiff or plaintiffs brought the action individually and on behalf of all others similarly situated against the Company.
- On May 24, 2021, a shareholder derivative lawsuit was filed in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware by Richard Delman on behalf of the Company, alleging a breach of fiduciary duty against the Company’s directors. On October 6, 2021, a shareholder derivative lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the District of Delaware by Ryan Perri on behalf of the Company, alleging a breach of fiduciary duty against the Company’s directors. On February 9, 2023, a shareholder derivative lawsuit was filed in the United States District Court for the District of Delaware by Samuel Brezenin on behalf of the Company, alleging a breach of fiduciary trust against the Company’s directors.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
DNMR – Executive Compensation
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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