We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared towards traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Blacksky Technology Inc. (NYSE: BKSY)
Today’s penny stock pick is the geospatial-intelligence company, Blacksky Technology Inc. (NYSE: BKSY).
Blacksky Technology Inc. provides geospatial intelligence, imagery and related data analytic products and services, and mission systems that include the development, integration, and operations of satellite and ground systems to commercial and government customers worldwide.
The company processes a range of observations from its constellation, as well as various space, internet-of-things, and terrestrial based sensors and data feeds. Its products are used in government defense and intelligence; commercial, construction, and industrial; and catastrophe, climate, and environment applications.
Website: https://www.blacksky.com/
Latest 10-k report: https://sec.report/Document/0001753539-22-000020/, https://sec.report/Document/0001753539-22-000027 (Amended)
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 1 Wall Street analyst offering 12-month price targets for BKSY in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $6.00, which is nearly 158% upside from current levels.
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The company secured intelligence contract worth up to $1B with the National Reconnaissance Office, a U.S. intelligence agency.
- Benchmark Co. analyst reiterated a ‘Buy’ rating for the stock.
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern with historic high volume. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
#2 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#3 Bullish Stoch: The %K line of the stochastic is above the %D line, and has also moved higher from oversold levels, indicating possible bullishness.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as a pink color dotted line. This is a possible bullish indication.
#6 Bullish RSI: The RSI is moving higher from oversold levels, indicating possible bullishness.
#7 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the weekly chart as well, indicating possible bullishness.
#8 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for BKSY is above the price of $2.60.
Target Prices: Our first target is $4.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $5.00.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $1.80. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 54% to 92%.
For a risk of $0.80, our first target reward is $1.40, and the second target reward is $2.40. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has a history of net losses. As of December 31, 2021, BKSY had an accumulated deficit of $470.9 million.
- Prior to the Merger closing, Osprey Technology Acquisition Corp. received six demands from putative Osprey stockholders and had a derivative lawsuit filed against it in the Supreme Court of the State of New York by a purported Osprey stockholder: Luster v. Osprey Technology Acquisition Corp., et al., Index No. 653633/2021 (Sup. Ct. N.Y. Cnty.). In addition, the Osprey board of directors also received six demands from putative stockholders of Osprey. In the year ended December 31, 2021, the Company paid $0.7 million to settle the Demands and recorded $0.3 million in reimbursement proceeds from an insurance claim.
- Hedge Funds Decreased Holdings by 4.9M Shares Last Quarter.
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid millions in compensation.
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
— Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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