Cenovus Energy Inc. (NYSE: CVE) seems to be poised for a price surge as per its latest charts. The company develops, produces, and markets crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas in Canada, the United States, and the Asia Pacific region. The company operates through Oil Sands, Conventional, Offshore, Canadian Manufacturing, U.S. Manufacturing, and Retail segments.
Bullish Indications
#1 Channel Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out of an uptrend channel. This channel is marked in the chart as purple color lines. This is a possible bullish indication.
CVE – Daily Chart
#2 Price above MAs: The price is currently above the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls are still in control. This is a positive indication.
#3 MACD Above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD line (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) which is typically considered bullish.
#4 Bullish ADX: The ADX indicator shows that the +DI line is currently above the –DI line and the ADX line has started to move up from below –DI and +DI lines. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Bullish Stoch: The %K line is above the %D line of the stochastic in the daily chart, indicating possible bullishness.
#6 Ascending Triangle Pattern Breakout: The weekly chart shows that the stock has currently broken out of an Ascending Triangle pattern. An Ascending Triangle pattern is a bullish pattern. This is marked on the daily chart in pink color lines. A breakout from this pattern typically indicates bullishness. The base of the triangle generally acts as a good support level after the breakout. The stock is also trading above its 50-week and 200-week SMA, indicating that the bulls are firmly in control.
CVE – Weekly Chart
#7 %K above %D: The %K (blue) line of stochastic has currently crossed above the %D (Orange) line in the weekly chart as well, and is also moving higher from oversold levels. This is a possible bullish indication.
#8 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can purchase the shares of CVE above the price of around $19.60.
TP: Our target prices are $23 and $26 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place stop-loss at $17.50. Note that the stop-loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 17% to 33% in the next 3 to 6 months.
For a risk of $2.10, our target rewards are $3.40 and $6.40. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 3x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down from the trend channel with a high volume. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
Happy Trading!
— Tara
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