We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared for traders with an extremely high risk appetite.
Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.
Penny Stock of the Day: Arcadia Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: RKDA)
Today’s penny stock pick is the American agricultural biotechnology company, Arcadia Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: RKDA).
Arcadia Biosciences Inc. engages in developing various crop productivity traits primarily in hemp, wheat, and soybean. The company’s crop productivity traits are designed to enhance farm economics by improving the performance of crops in the field, as well as their value as food ingredients, health and wellness products, and their viability for industrial applications.
Its products include GoodHemp, a commercial pipeline of non-GMO hemp seed varieties developed with modern crop innovation tools focused on genetic improvement of hemp; GoodWheat that redesigns wheat as a functional food adding value to the wheat supply chain by enabling a range of choices to meet consumer demands; and nutritional oils, such as gamma linolenic acid oils. The company has collaborations with Ardent Mills, LLC, Corteva AgriScience, and Arista Cereal Seeds Pty Ltd, and Bay State Milling Company.
Website: www.arcadiabio.com
Latest 10-k report: https://sec.report/Document/0001564590-21-017118/
Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 1 Wall Street analyst offering 12-month price targets for RKDA in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $6.00, which is nearly 292% upside from current levels.
Source: TipRanks.com
Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com
Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:
- The increased interest in agriculture and wheat stocks thanks to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. There are now significant grain and fertilizer supply concerns amid the conflict.
- The company won broader patent protection for its high-fiber GoodWheat intellectual property to keep others from using genetic modification techniques to alter its protected technology.
- RKDA filed a new international patent application titled “Methods of increasing fiber in a wheat grain.”
On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…
Bullish Indications
#1 Falling Wedge Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has been forming a falling wedge pattern for the past several months. These are marked as purple color lines. It has typically taken support at the bottom of the wedge before bouncing back. The stock has currently broken out from the falling wedge pattern. Once the stock breaks out of the falling wedge pattern, it could move higher.
RKDA – Daily Chart
#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently above its 50-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.
#4 MACD above Signal Line: In the daily chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#5 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.
#6 Above Support Area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently trading above a support area, which is marked as an orange color dotted line. This is a possible bullish indication.
RKDA – Weekly Chart
#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart as well, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.
#8 Bullish RSI: The RSI is above 50 and moving higher, indicating possible bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for RKDA is above the price of $2.00.
Target Prices: Our first target is $3.40. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $5.00.
Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $1.20. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is 70% to 150%.
For a risk of $0.80, our first target reward is $1.40, and the second target reward is $3.00. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:4 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers 2x to 4x more potential upside than downside.
Potential Risks / Red Flags:
- The company has incurred significant net losses since its formation in 2002. RKDA reported net losses of $6.0 million, and $28.9 million for the years ended December 31, 2020, and 2019, respectively.
RKDA – Consolidated Statements of Operations and Comprehensive Loss
- Hedge Funds Decreased Holdings by 1.5M Shares Last Quarter.
Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com
- Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.
RKDA – Executive Compensation
As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!
Happy Trading!
— Trades of the Day Research Team
READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.
Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.
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