Analyst Thinks This High Risk / High Reward Oil Stock Has Nearly 60% Upside Potential

We recently started a series called “Penny Stock of the Day”. These ideas are geared for traders with an extremely high risk appetite.

Our Penny Stock of the Day is chosen by screening for stocks under $5 and then applying technical analysis on the shortlisted set of penny stocks showing unusual volume. When making these trades, please make sure to pay vigilant attention to pricing moves and have a strict stop loss in place to avoid significant losses.

Penny Stock of the Day: W&T Offshore, Inc. (NYSE: WTI)

Today’s penny stock pick is the natural gas liquids company, W&T Offshore, Inc. (NYSE: WTI).

W&T Offshore, Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico. The company sells crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. It holds working interest in approximately 41 offshore fields in federal and state waters. It has interests in offshore leases covering approximately 669,000 net acres spanning across the Outer Continental Shelf off the coasts of Louisiana, Texas, Mississippi, and Alabama.

Website:  www.wtoffshore.com

Latest 10-k report:  https://sec.report/Document/0001437749-21-005032

Analyst Consensus: As per TipRanks Analytics, based on 1 Wall Street analyst offering 12-month price targets for WTI in the last 3 months, the stock has an average price target of $7.00, which is nearly 59% upside from current levels.

Source: TipRanks.com

Analysts | Source: TipRanks.com

Potential Catalysts / Reasons for the Hype:

  • The Company is scheduled to issue its fourth quarter and full year of 2021 earnings release on Tuesday, March 8, 2022, after the close of trading.
  • Hedge Funds Increased Holdings by 499.2K Shares Last Quarter.

    Hedge Funds | Source: TipRanks.com

  • Increasing oil prices.

On analyzing the company’s stock charts, there seem to be multiple bullish indications…

Bullish Indications

#1 Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The daily chart shows that the stock is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is marked as orange color lines. A symmetrical triangle pattern represents a period of consolidation before the price breaks out. This is typically formed when there is indecision in the price movements and uncertainty among the buyers and sellers. Once a breakout from the upper trend line occurs, it usually signifies the start of a new bullish trend.

WTI – Daily Chart

#2 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX indicator shows bullishness as the +DI line is above the -DI line, and the ADX line is currently moving higher from below the +DI and -DI lines.

#3 Price above MAs: The stock is currently above its 50-day and 200-day SMA, indicating that the bulls have currently gained control.

#4 Bullish RSI: The RSI is above 50 and moving higher, indicating possible bullishness.

#5 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30. This indicates bullishness.

#6 Ascending Triangle Pattern: The weekly chart shows that the stock is forming an ascending triangle pattern, which is marked as purple color lines. This is a possible bullish sign.

WTI – Weekly Chart

#7 MACD above Signal Line: In the weekly chart, the MACD (light blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish setup.

Recommended Trade (based on the charts)

Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for WTI is above the price of $5.00.

Target Prices: Our first target is $6.00. If it closes above that level, the second target price is $8.00.

Stop Loss: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $4.40. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.

Our target potential upside is 20% to 60%.

For a risk of $0.60, our first target reward is $1.00, and the second target reward is $3.00. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:5 risk-reward trade.

In other words, this trade offers 2x to 5x more potential upside than downside.

Potential Risks / Red Flags:

  1. The company has a history of net losses.

    WTI – Consolidated Statement of Operations

  2. The company owes civil penalties totaling $7.7 million to the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement related to Incidents of Noncompliance at various offshore locations. Under the Settlement Agreement, W&T will need to pay a total of $720,000 in three annual installments, with the first installment due in March 2021.
  3. Despite being a loss-making company, the executives are being paid significant compensation.

    WTI – Executive Compensation

  4. On December 15, 2014, Apache filed a lawsuit against the Company, Apache Deepwater, L.L.C. vs. W&T Offshore, Inc., alleging that W&T breached the joint operating agreement related to, among other things, the abandonment of three deepwater wells in the Mississippi Canyon area of the Gulf of Mexico.

As you can see, today’s featured penny stock offers big upside potential… but it also comes with a number of risks and red flags. As always, when dealing with penny stocks, we advise caution before entering into such high-risk ventures. Remember to think before you trade… understand the risks… and if you decide to trade, stick to your stop-losses!

Happy Trading!

— Trades of the Day Research Team

READ BEFORE TRADING PENNY STOCKS: The allure of penny stocks lies in their potential to deliver massive gains in a short period of time. However, in exchange for that opportunity, most penny stocks carry tremendous risk. They can be extremely volatile and are susceptible to “pump and dump” schemes and fraud.

Unlike regular stocks, the financial condition of most penny stock companies can be extremely difficult to analyze, as the majority of such stocks are traded on over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges, which are typically less transparent and less regulated than the major exchanges. In fact, in the penny stock space, it’s often easier to spot warning signs and red flags than it is to identify a sound investment. Nevertheless, we do our best to identify short-term trade opportunities in this exciting space because we know some of our readers are looking for high-risk, high-reward ideas. We just urge you to make sure you fully understand the risks before making any of these trades.

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