One of the most interesting “smart money” trades we came across yesterday was with Zoom Video Communications Inc. (NASDAQ: ZM).
If you’re new here, a “smart money” trade is a relatively large volume option trade most likely made by a pro trader. The idea is to analyze unusual options activity, identify an interesting “smart money” trade, and then make our best guess as to:
- Which direction the trader thinks the stock is headed
- How much they think it will rise (or fall), and
- In what time frame this will all happen.
If we like what we see after putting all these pieces together, we can mimic the “smart money” trade (on a smaller scale), and potentially ride alongside our pro trader to profits. With all this in mind…
A Pro Trader Just Bet $48,950,000 that ZM Will Continue to Climb in the Next 16 Weeks
On Wednesday, November 24, 2021, a pro trader seems to have bought 10,000 of the March 18, 2022, $170 call options on ZM for $48.95 per contract. His outlay was $48,950,000.
ZM – Option Trade
The trade’s breakeven point is at $218.95, meaning that ZM needs to rise to $218.95 for the call option trade to break even. This is nearly 5% upside from the stock’s previous close of $208.30. For every $1 the stock rises above $218.95, our “smart money” trader will make $1,000,000!
On analyzing the daily chart of ZM, the stock seems to have formed a Bullish Harami candle pattern. This pattern consists of a bearish candle with a large body, followed by a bullish candle with a small body enclosed within the body of the prior candle. A Bullish Harami is a reversal pattern that typically appear at the bottom of a downtrend and hints at a bullish reversal. The RSI indicator is also starting to move higher from oversold levels. All this makes it likely that our pro trader is bullish on ZM.
ZM – Daily Chart
This lends credence to our conclusion that the pro bought these call options, as opposed to selling them.
If you agree and would like to mimic this trade, here’s how:
Buy to open the March 18, 2022, $170 call options on ZM for $48.95 or better.
As always, depending on your risk appetite, do remember to set a stop-loss for the options trade to avoid significant losses.
Happy Trading!
— Trades of The Day Research Team
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