Trading CNH Industrial (NYSE: CNHI) Could Double Your Money by mid-August

Stocks moved higher again on Thursday after it was announced that the White House and the Senate have reached an agreement on an infrastructure bill. All four of the main indices opened higher and they remained in positive territory throughout the day.

The Russell jumped 1.31% to lead the way and it was followed by the Dow with a gain of 0.95%. The Nasdaq rallied for a gain of 0.69% and the S&P moved up 0.58%.

Nine of the 10 main sectors moved higher on the day with the utilities sector falling 0.09% as the only one to finish in the red.

The financial sector gained 1.25% as the leading performer and it was the only one to move up over 1.0%. The communication services sector tacked on 0.94% as the second leading performer.

My scans flipped to a slight negative skew last night with 18 bearish signals and 15 bullish signals.

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The barometer dropped quite a bit as the weighting of the big positive readings waned and the new negative reading was added to the calculation. The final reading for Thursday was 49.7, down from 79.6 on Wednesday.

Today’s trade idea is a fifth straight bullish one. There were two stocks on the bullish list that I considered and three bearish signals that I looked at as well. After considering all aspects of the trade I felt a bullish trade on CNH Industrial (NYSE: CNHI) would give us the greatest odds of success. The company scores a 78 on the EPS rating and a B on its SMR rating.

The chart shows how the stock has jumped sharply since last October, moving from below $8 to over $18 recently. The last five months have seen a trend channel form and the stock just hit the lower rail of the channel this week. The stock moved back above its 50-day moving average yesterday and the pattern is looking similar to what we saw in early May.

Buy to open the August 15-strike calls on CNHI at $1.95 or better. These options expire on August 20, 2021. I suggest a target gain of 100% and that means the stock will need to reach $18.90. The stock peaked at $18.49 in May, so it will have to move above that high to reach our target, but the upper rail of the channel will be well above our target in the next week or so. I suggest a stop at $15.75.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.