The American manufacturer of firearms, ammunition, and restraints whose corporate headquarters is in Springfield, Massachusetts, Smith & Wesson Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: SWBI) seems to be gearing up for a surge as per its latest charts.
Bullish Indications
#1 Ascending triangle pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out of an Ascending Triangle pattern. An Ascending Triangle pattern is a bullish pattern. This is marked on the daily chart in purple color lines. A breakout from an ascending triangle pattern typically indicates bullishness. The base of the triangle generally acts as a good support level after the breakout.
Daily Chart – SWBI
#2 Trading above MAs: The price is currently above both the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA. This implies a possible bullish bias for the stock.
#3 Bullish Stoch: The %K line of the stochastic is above the %D line in the daily chart and is also moving up from oversold levels, indicating bullishness.
#4 Bullish RSI: The RSI is currently above 50 and moving higher, indicating the strength of the current bullish move.
#5 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX line has started to move up from below –DI and +DI lines. The +DI line and the ADX line are also currently above –DI line. This indicates possible bullishness.
#6 Flag Pattern Breakout: The weekly chart shows that the stock was in an uptrend after which it started consolidating and was in a narrow range. This is a classic flag pattern and is marked in the chart in pink color. Currently, the stock has broken out of the flag. A Flag is a continuation pattern. Whenever a stock breaks out of the flag pattern, it typically continues its previous trend (uptrend in this case). The stock is also trading above its 50-week as well as 200-week SMA. All these are possible bullish indications.
Weekly Chart – SWBI
#7 Bullish MACD: In the weekly chart, the MACD line is above the MACD signal line, indicating possible bullishness.
#8 Bullish Stoch: The %K line of the stochastic is above the %D line in the weekly chart and is moving up from oversold levels, indicating bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for SWBI is above the price of $23.70.
TP: Our target prices are $28 and $35 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $21.10. Note that this stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is nearly 18% to 48% in the next 3-6 months.
For a risk of $2.60, the target rewards are $4.30 and $11.30. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:4 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 4x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down with high volume from the ascending triangle pattern. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in its sector.
Happy Trading!
Tara
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