The American chemical business based in Columbia, Maryland, that produces specialty chemicals and specialty materials in two divisions: Grace Catalysts Technologies and Grace Materials and Chemicals, W R Grace & Co (NYSE: GRA) seems to be gearing up for a surge as per its latest charts.
Bullish Indications
#1 Flag Pattern Breakout: The daily chart shows that the stock was in an uptrend after which it started consolidating and was in a narrow range. This is a classic flag pattern and is marked in the chart in purple color. Currently, the stock has broken out of the flag. A Flag is a continuation pattern. Whenever a stock breaks out of the flag pattern, it typically continues its previous trend (uptrend in this case).
Daily Chart – GRA
#2 Trading above MAs: The price is currently above both the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA as well as the longer-term moving average of 200-day SMA. This implies a possible bullish bias for the stock.
#3 MACD above Signal Line: The daily chart shows that the MACD line (blue color) has crossed above the signal line (orange color). This is a possible bullish setup.
#4 Bullish Aroon: The value of Aroon Up (orange line) is above 70 while Aroon Down (blue line) is below 30 in the daily chart. This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 Bullish ADX and DI: The ADX line has started to move up from below –DI and +DI lines. The +DI line and the ADX line are also currently above –DI line. This indicates possible bullishness.
#6 Ascending triangle pattern Breakout: The weekly chart shows that the stock has currently broken out of an Ascending Triangle pattern. An Ascending Triangle pattern is a bullish pattern. This is marked on the daily chart in pink color lines. A breakout from an ascending triangle pattern typically indicates bullishness. The base of the triangle generally acts as a good support level after the breakout.
Weekly Chart – GRA
#7 Bullish MACD: In the weekly chart as well, the MACD line is above the MACD signal line, indicating possible bullishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for GRA is if the stock corrects to the breakout level of the ascending triangle pattern, at around $64.70.
Alternatively, you can purchase the shares of GRA above $71.50.
TP: Our target prices are $75 and $80 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $58.90 (for entry near $64.70) and $69.20 (for entry near $71.50). Note that this stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is nearly 5% to 24% in the next 3-6 months.
- Entry near $64.70: For a risk of $5.80, the target rewards are $10.30 and $15.30. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:3 risk-reward trade.
- Entry near $71.50: For a risk of $2.30, the target rewards are $3.50 and $8.50. This is a nearly 1:2 and 1:4 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 4x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down with high volume from the ascending triangle pattern. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in its sector.
Happy Trading!
— Tara
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