Trade Invitae’s (NYSE: NVTA) Drop for a Potential 75% Return by mid-March

The indices were split on Thursday with two moving higher and two moving lower. The Nasdaq led the way for a third straight day and this time it was a gain of 0.55%. The S&P eked out a gain of 0.03% and it was the only other index to move higher.

On the down side, the Russell fell 0.66% and the Dow edged lower with a loss of 0.04%.

The sectors weren’t as fortunate as the indices and seven of the 10 moved lower on Thursday. The tech sector was the top performer with a gain of 1.30%. The consumer discretionary sector moved up 0.46% and the communication services sector tacked on 0.39% as the third group to finish in the black.

As for those losing ground, the energy sector fell 3.27% and continued to experience more volatility than the other groups. The materials sector dropped 1.48% and the financial sector lost 1.02%. Those were the only three that lost more than 1.0%.

My scans flipped back to the negative side last night with 25 bearish signals and 13 bullish signals.

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Despite the negative skew on last night’s scans, the barometer inched up a bit. The final reading was -14.6 after a reading of -21.6 on Wednesday.

After a couple of bullish trade ideas in a row, I have a bearish trade idea for you today. The subject company is Invitae (NYSE: NVTA) and the fundamental ratings are poor with an EPS rating of 21. The SMR rating is a D.

The thing that jumped out at me on the chart was the shooting star candlestick from Wednesday and the follow through downward move yesterday. This is a reversal pattern and with the stochastic indicators making a bearish crossover that is a second bearish sign. I look for the stock to continue trending lower over the next few weeks.

Buy to open the March 55-strike puts on NVTA at $7.60 or better. These options expire on March 19, 2021. I suggest a target gain of 75% and that means the stock will need to drop to $41.70. That is in the same area where the stock bottomed in December. I recommend a stop at $57.50.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.