This Trade Could Double Your Money in Seven Weeks

The selling that started on Monday not only continued on Wednesday, it intensified. All four indices opened lower and continued lower throughout the day. All four closed at or near their lows of the day.

The Nasdaq took the biggest hit with a decline of 3.73%. The S&P fell 3.53% and the Dow dropped 3.43%. The Russell was the only one that managed to keep its loss under 3.0%, but not by much. The small-cap index lost 2.97%.

All 10 sectors fell and all of them lost over 2.5%. The financial sector recorded the smallest loss at 2.56%. The materials sector fell 2.82% and that was the second smallest loss.

The tech sector took the biggest hit with a drop of 4.24% and the energy sector fell 4.18%. These were the only two sectors that lost over 4.0% on the day.

Because of all the selling this week, my scans didn’t produce too many signals on either side last night. There was only one bullish signal and six bearish signals.

The barometer did move a little lower as a result of the third straight bearishly skewed day, falling to -5.9 from -0.4.

Even though there were very few stocks to choose from, there was one stock that got my attention. HSBC Holdings (NYSE: HSBC) appeared on the bearish list last night and its fundamental ratings are pretty bad. The EPS rating is only an 11 and the SMR rating is a D.

What jumped out at me on the chart was a series of island tops that I have marked with the blue circles. In each of the cases, after the gap lower formed the island top, the stock fell at anywhere from 10.25% to 19.65% with an average loss of 14.87%. A drop of that magnitude this time would put the stock down around $17.50.

Buy to open the December 22-strike puts on HSBC at $2.08 or better. These options expire on December 18, 2020. I suggest a target gain of 100% and that means the stock will need to drop to $17.84. That is slightly higher than the $17.50 calculated target above, but slightly below the low of $17.95 in September. I recommend a stop at $21.50.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.