Trade This Stock’s Drop for a Potential 75% Return in 9 Weeks

Stocks screamed higher again on Monday, continuing the upward momentum from last week. All four indices opened higher and remained in positive territory throughout the day. They did slip a little at the end of the day to close off their highs.

The Nasdaq led the way with a gain of 2.56% and the S&P tacked on 1.64% to put it within striking distance of its all-time high. The Dow moved up 0.88% and the Russell registered the smallest gain at 0.70%.

Nine of the 10 sectors moved higher on the day with the material sector falling 0.17% as the only one in the red.

The tech sector jumped 2.73% to lead the way and the communication services sector was right behind at 2.64%. There were three more sectors that gained over 1.0%.

My scans remained negative and the bearish list got considerably longer. There were 46 names on the bearish list and only one bullish signal.

The barometer fell from -16 to -24.4 once these results were added in to the equation.

With only one bullish signal, there wasn’t much to choose from except from the bearish list. And there were only a few that got my attention on that list. The one that I felt gives us the best odds of success is LyondellBasell Industries (NYSE: LYB). The company has a poor EPS rating at 29 and the SMR rating is only average with a C grade.

The chart shows the potential for a double-top formation in the $81 area. The stock peaked just shy of that level in mid-September and it peaked just above it last week. The stock was overbought based on the 10-day RSI and the daily stochastic readings before the stock turned lower yesterday.

Buy to open the December 80-strike puts on LYB at $8.20 or better. These options expire on December 18, 2020. I suggest a target gain of 75% and that means the stock will need to drop to $65.65. That target is lower than the low between the two highs, but for the double-top formation to be confirmed it is supposed to drop below the low between the two highs. I recommend a stop at $81.50.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.