Trade This Bouncing Stock for a 75% Return in Two Months

This week got off to a rough start as futures were pointing to a big drop before the equity markets even opened. All four of the main indices dropped sharply out of the gate and three of the four held on to those losses. The Nasdaq trimmed its losses considerably in the afternoon, but still finished with a loss of 0.13%.

The other three indices did move off their lows, but finished with significant losses. The Russell took the worst hit at –3.35%. The Dow dropped 1.84% on the day and the S&P fell 1.16%.

Nine of the 10 main sectors lost ground on Monday with only the tech sector recovering to finish with a gain of 0.86%.

Three sectors took losses of over 3.0% with the worst one being the materials sector which fell 3.35%. The industrial sector dropped 3.34% and the energy sector lost 3.32%.

My scans flipped back to the positive side, but just barely. There were 22 bullish signals and 18 bearish signals which was a surprise given the losses for the indices.

The barometer moved up from -24.9 to -19.6 once these results were added in to the equation.

There was one stock on each list last night that I considered, but the risk/reward scenario for the bullish stock seemed better to me. Workday (Nasdaq: WDAY) appeared on the bullish list and it has great fundamental scores. The EPS rating is 96 and the SMR rating is an A.

We see on the chart how the lows since March are all connected with one trend line and the stock just hit it yesterday before bouncing. It also helps that the 50-day moving average is right in the same area. The stochastic indicators are the lowest they have been since the March low and they turned higher last night, making a bullish crossover.

Buy to open the November 160-strike calls on WDAY at $16.90 or better. These options expire on November 20. I suggest a target gain of 75% for this trade and that means the stock will need to reach $229.60. The stock was above $240 earlier this month. I recommend a stop at $190.00.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.