Trade This Stock’s Drop for 75% Returns in 6 Weeks

Stocks were mixed on Monday with three of the four indices moving lower. The Nasdaq was the wildcard and gained 0.68% on the day.

The Russell took the worst hit with a drop of 1.04%, the Dow fell 0.78%, and the S&P dropped a more modest 0.22%.

Seven of the 10 main sectors lost ground with four losing more than 1.0%. The energy sector took the biggest hit with a loss of 2.17%. The materials sector fell 1.53%, the industrial sector declined 1.24%, and the financial sector dropped 1.18%.

The tech sector led the way with a gain of 0.32% while the utilities sector moved up 0.30%. The healthcare sector was the third one to finish in the black with a gain of 0.24%.

My scans were negative for a third straight night, but the difference in size in the two lists was a little smaller again. There were 38 bearish signals and 15 bullish signals.

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The barometer dropped to -26.8 from -23.5 once these results were added in to the equation.

There were a number of trade setups on the bearish side that caught my eye last night. In the end I felt a bearish play on Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) gives us the greatest odds of success. The company’s fundamentals aren’t that great and with travel and tourism continuing to struggle, I don’t see the fundamentals improving for a while. The company’s EPS rating is a 12 and the SMR rating is a C.

What got my attention on the chart was the reversal pattern between Friday and Monday and then I noticed the fact that both the RSI and the stochastic indicators had been in overbought territory at the same time. The last time that happened was in early June—right before the stock fell over 23%. A similar move this time would drop the stock to $40.67.

Buy to open the October 52.50-strike puts on LVS at $5.50 or better. These options expire on October 16. I suggest a target gain of 75% and that means the stock will need to drop to $42.87. This means the stock won’t have to break the $42.50 level. I recommend a stop at $53.20.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.