The Kentucky-based industry leading marketer of Other Tobacco Products (OTP) and adult consumer alternatives, Turning Point Brands Inc. (NYSE: TPB) seems to be ready for a price surge according to its latest charts.
Bullish Indications
#1 Descending Triangle Pattern Breakout: The stock’s daily chart shows that the stock has currently broken out of a descending triangle pattern in an upward direction. This descending triangle pattern is marked in pink color on the daily chart. An upward breakout from a bearish pattern like a descending Triangle is typically a good bullish sign.
Daily Chart – TPB
#2 MACD above Signal Line: As you can see from the daily chart, the MACD line (blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color). This indicates a possible bullish bias.
#3 Price above MA: The stock is currently trading above its 50-day SMA.
This shows that the bulls are currently in control.
#4 Bullish ADX and DI: The daily chart shows that the ADX line is currently moving above the –DI and +DI lines.
The +DI and the ADX lines are also above the –DI line.
This indicates possible bullishness.
#5 %K above %D: The stochastics show that the %K line is currently above the %D line in the daily chart. This is a possible bullish sign.
#6 Double Bottom Pattern: From the weekly chart, we can see that the stock is currently forming a double bottom pattern. This pattern is marked in purple color in the weekly chart. A double bottom pattern is a strong bullish pattern. A breakout from the pattern usually foretells the possibility of an upmove in the short term.
Weekly Chart – TPB
#7 %K above %D: The stochastics show that the %K line is currently above the %D line in the weekly chart as well. It is also moving up from oversold levels. This indicates bullishness.
#8 Bullish MACD: The MACD line (blue color) is currently above the MACD signal line (orange color) in the weekly chart as well. This indicates a possible bullish bias.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Buy Price: If you want to get in on this trade, the ideal buy level for TPB is above $26.80.
TP: Our target prices are $30 and $35 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $24.80. Note that the stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential upside is almost 12% to 31% in the next 3-6 months.
For a risk of $2.00, our target rewards are $3.20 and $8.20. This is a 1:2 and 1:4 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 2x to 4x more potential upside than downside.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks down with high volume from the breakout level of the descending triangle pattern. The sell-off of the stock could also be triggered in case of any negative news, overall weakness in the market, or any regulatory changes in the sector.
Happy trading!
Tara
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