The well-known American multinational consumer goods corporation headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Procter & Gamble Co (NYSE: PG) seems to be poised for a decline in its price in the near term as per its latest charts.
Bearish Indications
#1 Rising Wedge Pattern Breakdown: The daily chart shows that PG has recently broken down from a rising wedge pattern that was formed during the past few months. This is a bearish pattern and is marked in purple color in the daily chart. Once a stock breaks down from the bottom of the rising wedge pattern, it typically moves lower in the near-term. Currently, the stock has broken down from the rising wedge pattern, which is a possible bearish sign.
Daily Chart – PG
#2 %K below %D in Stochastic: The %K line is currently below the %D line in stochastic of the daily chart. This indicates possible bearishness.
#3 MACD below signal line: The MACD line (blue color) is currently below the MACD signal line (orange color), indicating bearishness.
#4 Price below MA: The price is currently below the short-term moving average of 50-day SMA.
This usually implies a possible bearish bias for the stock.
#5 Bearish Aroon: The Aroon indicator shows bearishness as the Aroon up is below 30 and the Aroon down is above 70.
#6 Supply area: The weekly chart shows that the stock is currently near a supply area, which is marked as an orange rectangle.
The stock was not able to cross above this level even after multiple weeks. This indicates possible bearishness.
Weekly Chart – PG
#7 Bearish Divergence between RSI and Price: The weekly chart shows that there is a bearish divergence between RSI and price. This is because while the price was making higher highs, RSI was forming lower highs. This usually indicates the possibility of an upcoming bearish move. This bearish divergence is marked as blue dotted lines.
#8 Bearish Stochastic: The stochastic in the weekly chart is near overbought levels and moving down. The %K line has also crossed below the %D line. All these indicate possible bearishness.
#9 Bearish MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line in the weekly chart as well, indicating possible bearishness.
Recommended Trade (based on the charts)
Sell Levels: If you want to get in on this trade, you can take short positions on PG below the 200-day MA. This translates to a price of around $118.80.
TP: Our target prices are $110 and $100 in the next 3-6 months.
SL: To limit risk, place a stop loss at $122. Note that this stop loss is on a closing basis.
Our target potential downside is 7% to 16% in the next 3-6 months.
For a risk of $3.20, our target rewards are $8.80 and $18.80. This is a nearly 1:3 and 1:6 risk-reward trade.
In other words, this trade offers nearly 3x to 6x rewards compared to the risks.
Risks to Consider
The stock may reverse its overall trend if it breaks upwards from the rising wedge pattern with high volume. The breakout of the stock could also be triggered in case of any positive news, overall strength in the market, or any regulatory changes in its sector.
Happy Trading!
Tara
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