This Trade Targets a 100% Return in Two Months

After five straight days of selling pressure, Monday saw some buying pressure enter the market and all four sectors moved higher as a result. The Nasdaq led the way with a gain of 2.02% and it was followed by the Russell with a gain of 1.61% while the S&P tacked on 1.47%. The Dow lagged the others but still managed a gain of 0.79%. The Dow was hurt by Boeing dropping 5.36% after the plane crash in Ethiopia over the weekend.

All ten sectors moved higher on Monday with all but two sectors gaining more than one percent.

The tech sector led the way with a gain of 2.16%.

The communication services sector notched a gain of 1.78% as the second best performer and the energy sector added 1.56% for third place.

The two sectors that failed to gain one percent were utilities (0.73%) and the industrials (0.86%).

My scans produced bullishly skewed results for a second straight night on Monday.

There were 127 bullish signals and only one bearish signal.

The barometer jumped to 50.3 from -2.9 once these results were added in to the equation. That is the highest reading for the barometer since December 28.

Obviously with 127 names to choose from on the bullish list and only one on the bearish side, today’s trade idea is a bullish one. Splunk (Nasdaq: SPLK) is a software company and it scores a 96 on the EPS rating and an A on the SMR rating. The company has seen earnings grow by an average of 110% per year over the last three years while sales have grown at a rate of 38% per year.

The daily chart shows how the stock has been trending higher since November and a trend channel has formed during the last four months. The stock just bounced off of the lower rail and it appears to have a secondary layer of support from its 50-day moving average.

Buy to open the May $125-strike calls on SPLK at $8.20 or better. These options expire on May 17. The options will double if the stock reaches $141.20. The high on March 1 was $143.70 so it won’t have to break to a new high and it looks like the upper rail of the channel will be well above $141 in the next few days. I suggest a target gain of 100% with a close below the 50-day as a stop.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.