This Trade Could Double Your Money in Two Months

The selling pressure that hit the market on Wednesday decided to stick around on Thursday. We saw all four of the main indices lose ground again and this time the losses were worse for all except the Russell. The Nasdaq got hit the hardest yesterday with a drop of 1.13%. The Russell took the second worst loss at 0.83 % after falling more than two percent on Wednesday. The S&P fell 0.81% and the Dow dropped 0.78%.

Nine sectors lost ground on the day with the utilities sector gaining 0.35% as the only one spared from the losses.

The consumer discretionary sector suffered the worst loss on Thursday at 1.21% and the financial sector fell 1.07%.

Those were the only two sectors with losses greater than one percent.

Not surprisingly, the scans produced another night of negatively skewed results.

There were 11 names on the bullish list last night and 26 names on the bearish list.

The barometer didn’t change after these results were added in to the equation.

The reading came in at -16.9 for the second straight night.

Today’s trade idea is another bearish one and this time it is on the iShares MSCI China ETF (Nasdaq: MCHI). China’s economy is weakening and the government is taking measures to try to curb the slowdown. Unfortunately the measures aren’t going to take effect immediately so the market may continue to fall—as it has done for the last couple of days.

I chose to show you the weekly chart for the MCHI because it tells more of the story than the daily chart. We see that by connecting the highs from last January and June we get a downward sloped trend line. The fund just hit the trend line before turning lower. The area is also the site of the 52-week and 104-week moving averages.

Buy to open the May $62-strike puts on MCHI at $3.20 or better. These options expire on May 17. The options will double if the fund falls to $55.60. The fund fell below $51 in both October and December, so it won’t have to break to a new low to double. I suggest a target gain of 100% with a stop at $63.25.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.