This Gold Trade Targets a 100% Return in Two Months

Stocks were mixed on Wednesday and that showed in the performance of the indices. The Dow led the way with a gain of 0.70%. The S&P and Nasdaq opened in positive territory, moved in to negative territory in the middle of the session, and then notched small gains of 0.22% and 0.08% at the end of the day. The Russell finished with a loss of 0.32%.

The sectors were mixed with a slight upward bias. There were seven that moved higher on the day and three moved lower. On the positive side, the defensive sectors led the way with consumer staples gaining 1.16% and utilities gaining 1.05%.

[hana-code-insert name=’adsense-article’ /]The three sectors that finished in the red were energy (-1.05%), materials (-0.61%), and communication services (-0.50%).

My scans remained bearishly skewed on Wednesday night with 53 names on the bearish list and four names on the bullish side.

The barometer came in with a reading of -62.4 for Wednesday after a reading of -67.2 on Tuesday.

Despite the discrepancy between the bull and bear list, the trade idea for today is from the bullish list and it is on the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX).

Gold mining stocks have been gaining ground during the increased volatility in the overall market as investors seek a safe haven.

The fund has been trending higher since mid-November and a trend line has formed that connects that low with the low from later in the month. The trendline is currently in the $20.40 area and that was the same area where the fund peaked in October which makes it a possible support area.

Buy to open the March $20-strike calls on GDX at $1.05 or better. These options expire on March 15. These options will double if the fund hits $22.10 and that is only 7.86% above the current level. The fund will have to break through the recent high in the $21.50 area to get there, but I believe it can do that. I suggest a target gain of 100% with a stop at $20.30.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.