This Trade Could Double Your Money in About 6 Weeks

Friday was quite the roller coaster for the indices if you look at intraday chart. All four opened in positive territory and then moved in to negative territory in the morning. They moved back in to positive territory at midday, but dipped again in the afternoon. At the end of the day, two ended up with gains and two ended with losses.

The Russell led the way with a gain of 0.46% and it was joined in positive territory by the Nasdaq with a gain of 0.08%. The Dow was the worst performer with a loss of 0.33% and the S&P notched a loss of 0.12%.

[hana-code-insert name=’adsense-article’ /]As for the sectors, six fell on Friday, one finished unchanged, and three gained ground.

The utilities sector led the way on Friday with a gain of 0.25% and it was followed by the healthcare sector with a gain of 0.12%.

The consumer staples sector was the sector that was unchanged.

On the negative side, the energy sector suffered the worst loss at 0.77%.

The materials sector had the second worst loss at 0.54%.

The scan results dropped off sharply on Friday with only three names on the bullish list and two on the bearish side. The barometer dropped from 131.8 to 85.2 once the results were added in to the calculation. I expect the barometer to continue to fall in the next few days.

Despite the low number of signals on each side, there was one chart that stood out enough to make it today’s trade idea. The VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDXJ) was on the bearish list Friday. I recommended bullish trades on the SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) in September and November and both of those trade ideas hit their targets during the recent gold rally. But, the GDXJ is hitting resistance.

We see on the chart that the $30.20 area is important for several reasons. First, when the ETF gapped lower in August, this area was the top of the gap. The fund rallied back up to the level in October before falling back down. Now the fund has rallied back up to this area, but it is overbought based on the daily stochastic readings. I look for the ETF to turn lower again.

Buy to open the February $30-strike puts on GDXJ at $1.75 or better. These options expire on February 15. These options will double if the fund hits $36.50. This means the GDXJ won’t have to break to a new low. I suggest a target gain of 100% with a stop at $30.30.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.