This American Express (AXP) Trade Targets a 100% Return in About 6 Weeks

Three of the four main indices moved lower on Tuesday with the Dow gaining 0.46% as the only one in the green on the day. The Russell was down 1.01% and that is the second straight day it has been down over one percent. The Nasdaq was down 0.47% and the S&P was down 0.04%. Futures were down sharply ahead of the opening bell, so seeing the Dow finish higher and the S&P logging a small loss is a victory of sorts.

There were six sectors that moved higher yesterday while four moved lower. The utilities sector led the way with a gain of 1.35% and that was a far better performance than any other sector.

[hana-code-insert name=’adsense-article’ /]The second best performer was the consumer staples sector with a gain of 0.57%.

The consumer discretionary sector was the worst performer with a loss of 1.36% and that was by far the worst performance.

The second worst performance came from the healthcare sector which lost 0.07%.

My scans remained bullishly skewed last night with 44 names on the bullish list and 21 on the bearish list.

The barometer rose to 26.9 from 21.9 after these results were added in to the equation.

With the scans remaining bullishly skewed, I have another bullish trade idea for today. American Express (NYSE: AXP) was on the bullish list and this is the second time it has been the subject of my daily options trade. It was a bullish trade back on June 25 that reached its target of 100%. The company’s EPS rating is 78 and the SMR rating is an A.

The stock has formed a trend channel in the last few months and the stock has just hit the lower rail of the channel. We also see that the stochastic readings have made a bullish crossover as it approached oversold territory. In three of the four previous bullish crossovers of the stochastics, the stock rallied sharply. I look for another good rally this time.

Buy to open the November $105-strike calls on AXP at $5.10 or better. These options expire on November 16. The stock will need to rally up to $115.20 for these options to double and that is just over $8.00 from the low last Friday. The bounces in June and August were both over $8.00, so it seems reasonable to expect a similar bounce this time. I suggest a target gain of 100% with a stop at $106.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.