This Trade Could Double Your Money in One Month

Stocks saw a little selling pressure yesterday and three of the four main indices fell as a result. The Russell 2000 was the long gainer on the day with a move of 0.52% to the upside. The Dow had the worst loss at 0.53% while the S&P (-0.39%) and Nasdaq (-0.37%) experienced more modest losses.

The sectors were skewed to the down side as you would expect given the index performances. There were seven that moved lower and three that moved higher on Thursday. The financial sector was the worst performer by far with a loss of 1.52%.

[hana-code-insert name=’adsense-article’ /]The telecom sector was second worst with a loss of 0.64%.

The utilities sector led the way with a gain of 0.92% followed by the materials sector with a gain of 0.36%.

My scans turned more bearish again after the selling and the barometer dropped further in to negative territory as a result.

There were 64 names on the bearish list and 24 names on the bullish list.

The barometer dipped to -21.1 from -11.9.

Today’s trade idea came from the bearish list and the stock is Hewlett Packard Enterprises (NYSE: HPE).

The company scores a 77 on the EPS rating, but that is mainly due to its most recent earnings report. Over the last three years earnings have declined by an average of 17% per year while sales have been declining by an average of 21% per year over that same period. The SMR rating is a D on the company.  Both the ROE and profit margin are in the single digits.

We see on the chart how HPE has been trending lower since early March and it has done so in a very cyclical pattern. The trend channel that has formed has been pretty reliable and the stock just hit the upper rail while the stochastic readings reached overbought territory and then rolled over.

Buy to open the Aug18 $17-strike puts on HPE at $1.45 or better. These options expire on August 17. These options are $1.26 in the money, so we are paying little for the time premium over the next 30 days. The stock will need to drop to $14.10 for the options to double and that is my suggested target. I would set a stop at $16.20.

— Rick Pendergraft

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Rick Pendergraft, Trades Of The Day

Rick Pendergraft has been studying, trading, analyzing and writing about the investment markets for over 30 years. He has worked for some of the largest financial publishers in the world and he has been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, USA Today, the New York Times and the Washington Post. In addition, he has been interviewed on Bloomberg, CNBC and Fox Business News. Rick's analysis process includes fundamental, sentiment and technical analysis.